I remember last year when early Oscars odds came out for Best Picture, and everyone was clamoring over Dunkirk. I saw Christopher Nolan’s war epic, and it was every bit as authentic and raw as you could have hoped or feared.
It just wasn’t the best movie going into the 2018 Oscars.
I don’t think the Academy got it right regardless (The Shape of Water won), but the point for bettors is to consider that the process between early odds being released and the actual winners being announced can be a rather fluid one.
Early signs for the 2019 Oscars point to A Star Is Born being the favorite.
My first inclination is to deny a film powered by Bradley Cooper and Lady Gaga, but hey, I’ve been wrong before, and it’s surprisingly a fantastic story.
But should it be the top movie at such a prestigious film event?
I mean, this is the mother of all movie awards – an eternal landing place for legendary films like Spotlight, 12 Years a Slave, Argo, Slumdog Millionaire, A Beautiful Mind, and so many more.
Should it also include A Star Is Born? Vegas suggests it might.
It’s only November, and things can change, but right now, the top entertainment betting sites – specifically SportsBetting.ag – seem to favor A Star Is Born.
For what it’s worth, this movie was superbly acted by Cooper and Gaga, so much so that you pretty much can’t recognize them if you dissect the characters they’re portraying.
Awesome acting aside, bettors need to wonder if this film can go the distance. Here’s how A Star Is Born stacks up with the other major Best Picture threats per SportsBetting.ag.
There are admittedly some movies not included here that should be, but like past years, it’s possible the list and 2019 Oscars odds are both updated in the coming months.
Fans and bettors do have some time to prepare, after all, as the 2019 Oscars won’t actually see the red carpet rolled out until February 24th.
Still, if you can decisively work through the clutter, find some attractive odds, and nail the winning bet right now, why wouldn’t you?
A Star Is Born leads the way as the tentative favorite, but I like three movies in this group as potential upsets.
Anytime you can get former Oscar winner Mahershala Ali and Lord of the Rings legend Viggo Mortensen in a movie, you have a chance at something special.
Combining these two powerful forces in an unlikely tale of banter and friendship just might deliver a home run in the feels department.
The acting makes this a winner, but Green Book also delivers a heartwarming story – one that happens to be mostly true.
It’s rare that movies can display the raw reality of racial prejudices and humanity at its finest, all in one onslaught of free-flowing cinema.
Green Book captures the culture of the early 1960s without sacrificing its core story involving two incredibly different personalities that couldn’t be more perfect together.
Is it enough to win an Oscar? The odds say no, but the heart says maybe.
Ryan Gosling is known for his layered takes. Do yourself a favor and watch Drive, Half Nelson, Blade Runner 2049, and La La Land in succession, and you’ll find out in a hurry what he’s capable of.
Some felt he was biting off a bit more than he could chew in hotshot director Damien Chazelle’s First Man, but he finds a way to accurately capture Neil Armstrong’s heroism in a story that most of us shockingly know very little about.
Man’s first journey to the moon is laid out pretty simply for us all to see, but First Man peels the onion to allow us to discover so much more than a man just taking that “first step.”
If First Man doesn’t take Best Picture, it’s arguable Gosling at least deserves the Best Actor nod. However, the Academy loves these biopics when they’re done right, and Chazelle makes sure that’s the case.
I’m all for a love story involving music and human relationships. A bonding journey between men of different races and a trip to the moon certainly tug at the heartstrings, too.
But a story about an African-American infiltrating the Ku Klux Klan with the help of a witty surrogate (Adam Driver) just might take the cake.
The power of this (gulp) true story makes for a riveting watch, while it is also barrier-breaking thanks to an African-American detective unearthing a nasty reality in the 1970s.
Is it the best movie of the year? It’s at least debatable. But the subject matter, performances, and delivery all wrap up into one gem of a film. At +1400, this is possibly the greatest Oscars value play of them all.
Like most years, there are plenty of viable options worth betting on.
While it might be a tad early in the process to bite down hard on any one pick, one thing is for sure: you’re going to want to watch more of these movies.
I didn’t even touch on the ground-breaking Black Panther, Christian Bale’s incredible transformation in Vice, or a sleeper not even listed – Beautiful Boy.
As things stand, I tend to agree with the Vegas pricing here that A Star Is Born is the leader.
Lady Gaga gives a pretty revealing and authentic performance, Bradley Cooper channels his inner Jeff Bridges, and this is one of those remakes that – dare I say it – just might be better than the originals that preceded it.
A Star Is Born is the safe play, but if you want value and upside, consider wagering on the three films I pointed out. Of that trio, I’m not sure any offer a better combination of betting value, acting, storytelling, direction, and hype than First Man.
At a cool +1000 price, I’m game for aiming high before we even get to the month of December. Just keep in mind that as we approach more award shows (see: Golden Globes in January), the picture may start to clear up for a lot of the Oscar nominations.
For now, I’m digging First Man’s price tag.
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