Thursday, September 6, 2018

Betting Preview of the 2018 BMW Championship with Free Picks

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Betting Preview of the 2018 BMW Championship with Free Picks

Two down and two to go.

The FedEx Cup Playoffs are flying by, and we’re already down to just 70 players.

Would one of you mind telling Bryson DeChambeau to come down to planet Earth so we can have an exciting finish? The dude is playing lights-out right now and seems to be toying with the rest of the PGA Tour.

But as every golfer knows, each week represents a fresh start and a new opportunity.

On tap starting this Thursday is the BMW Championship, the third leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. This is the final chance golfers will have to qualify for the coveted TOUR Championship, so I know we’ll be seeing plenty of fireworks.

The top sports betting sites have an assortment of matchups and props available, and it’s up to us to find the value. Especially BetOnline.ag, who has a few attractive prices that I just couldn’t pass up.

To bring you up to speed, here’s what we are looking at.

The players will be teeing it up at Aronimink Golf Club, a private country club designed by famed course architect Donald Ross. The par-70 layout is about 25 miles northwest of the famous cheesesteaks near Center City, so expect plenty of players to make the short commute down to the City of Brotherly Love after their rounds.

While I won’t be swapping out birdies for hoagies, I will be watching the action play out to see if my bets pay off.

You can do the same, so don’t be afraid to pull the trigger!

Tommy Fleetwood vs. Jon Rahm

These two men are paired together (alongside Patton Kizzire) for the opening two rounds, so you’ll be able to keep close tabs on who has the leg up heading into the weekend.

Both men are set to play for Thomas Bjorn and Team Europe in the upcoming Ryder Cup, but I can assure you their minds are focused on the task at hand this week. From the outside, it appears to be an evenly-match head-to-head, given that both golfers are obviously world-class players.

But the closer I looked, the more truth that becomes unveiled.

Let’s just call a spade a spade and be honest about the current state of Jon Rahm’s golf game. A missed cut at the Northern Trust followed by a pedestrian-like 43rd-place showing last week at the Dell Technologies Championship tells me he is searching for something right now.

Rahm is extremely hard on himself when things aren’t going his way. When things go south, they really tend to go south.
th on the PGA Tour. Ask me if I like the fact that he’s 146th in sand save percentage and playing a golf course that had more than 100 bunkers added during its most recent facelift.

The point is, Rahm could easily be in line for a middle-of-the-pack finish on Sunday.

Now flip the script and look at Tommy Fleetwood.

I feel like Tommy has played about as poorly as he could through the first two weeks of the Playoffs and still has a pair of top-25s to show for it. Talk about a player who is ready to break out and start clicking on all cylinders. I think Tommy fits the bill.

His steady play suggests that he’s on the brink of doing something great, and I’m not going to be late to the party.

He ranks in the top 5 in total driving for the year and is someone who I know will be giving himself plenty of chances all week long. Tommy is one hot putting round away from putting this all together, and I think it happens this week.

PICKTommy Fleetwood-115
Jordan Spieth vs. Jason Day

Jordan Spieth isn’t having the “Jordan Spieth banner-like year” that most have come to expect from the kid they deemed early on as “The Golden Child.”

After missing back-to-back cuts to start June, he closed the month out with a T-42nd at the Travelers Championship. Things were looking pretty sketchy for the 3-time major champ, but he is slowly starting to turn things around.

Jordan has made 5 straight cuts, including a trio of top-12 showings and another top 25.

I know he is way down at 121st in strokes-gained putting on the year, but I just can’t see that lasting much longer. He has started to show signs of getting warm, and I think he continues that upward trajectory in Newton Square this week.

Meanwhile, Jason Day went from being a “consistent machine” to playing two of his worst rounds of the entire year last week at TPC Boston. In fact, Jason’s two-day total of 7 over par left him 91st in the 98-man field, and that includes two withdrawals and a disqualification.

I’m not sure if Jason got hurt or if he just lacked interest and motivation, but it certainly wasn’t the same Jason Day I’ve grown accustomed to seeing throughout 2018.

Perhaps with the end of the year in sight and no team competition to play for (Jason Day is eligible for the Presidents Cup Team, not the Ryder Cup Team), the 30-year-old Aussie is lacking inspiration and incentive to push through.

Either way, Jordan is trying to get on track for Paris in three weeks’ time and is grinding his tail off to get his game in shape. His recent play tells me he is getting super close.

Jason made just three birdies over his last 36 holes and should be hungry to redeem himself; I get that part. I wouldn’t put it past him to bounce back and find his form.

But there are enough question marks to make me lean toward Spieth in this matchup.

Coming in at 27th in the FedEx Cup standings, Jordan can ill-afford to have an “off-week” outside Philly.

With just one top-10 since Augusta (a T-9th at the Open Championship), Jordan is bound to get back onto the first page of the leaderboard eventually. This week at Aronimink GC is the perfect place and the perfect time to do it.

PICKJordan Spieth-115
Rory McIlroy vs. Bryson DeChambeau

Hear me out before you jump to any conclusions.

Bryson DeChambeau is undoubtedly the hottest player in the world of golf right now. He’s coming off consecutive victories to open the Playoffs and is trying to become the first golfer to ever record three wins during a FedEx Cup postseason.

He is on cloud nine after receiving confirmation that he will be on the 2018 Ryder Cup Team and should finally be able to take his foot off the gas pedal, at least a little.

Already guaranteed the top seed entering the season-ending TOUR Championship at East Lake, Bryson has already accomplished everything and more that he could ever have dreamed of.

It’s reasonable to think that Bryson takes some sort of step back this week. Maybe it’s still a top-10 finish, but the kid can’t win them all, can he?

Now flip the coin to Rory McIlroy, and you see a ravenous beast who is oozing to play well. The 29-year-old former FedEx Cup champion (2016) took the first week off to rest and work on his game, and it looks like things are going according to plan.

Rory coasted to a 12th-place finish to jump four spots from no. 28 to no. 24, but here’s my biggest takeaway from last week with McIlroy’s game.

Rory seemed to look noticeably more comfortable with the flat stick, the one club he has historically struggled with the most during his past. Seeing that he actually gained more strokes on the field with the putter than with any other facet of his game means one thing, and it’s not good for the rest of the PGA Tour.

Rory McIlroy is coming, and there won’t be much that the golf world can do to stop him.

PICKRory McIlroy-120
Final Thoughts

Get over to BetOnline now before these prices go away.

Nothing is guaranteed in the game of golf, particularly when betting matchups on any given week.

All you can do is put in the necessary work and do your best to locate the value. Or you find a golf nerd like me who doesn’t mind doing the dirty work for you and giving the picks away for free!

Next week’s TOUR Championship will be the last PGA Tour event to bet on before the Ryder Cup starts. Follow my advice and continue giving yourself legitimate opportunities to pad your wallet.

As sports bettors, that’s all we can do!

The post Betting Preview of the 2018 BMW Championship with Free Picks appeared first on GamblingSites.com.

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